Utah State +4.5 2.2% / Utah State +170 0.8% play

Fresno State could be without their starting QB Mikey Keene here, and I think it's trending that way on a short week as Fresno State heads back on the road to elevation for the second week in a row.  Both teams are pass first teams and run tempo, but Utah State has the better passing #'s against a tougher schedule.  Fresno's defense ranks 11th in ypp, but their average opponent offense ypp is 109.8th, and opponent ypp differential is -1.6.  Fresno has played one of the weakest schdules to date, and with a backup QB in Logan FIfe likely making the start I think there is some value on the money line as well here.